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China – War Ready. And Its Strategy

China is readier for war than some in the West may think, and it can be very different from what people might expect. The war in Ukraine should have alarmed the West and the EU into restarting their military industry. It didn’t. The EU sheepishly dreamed it would be a parenthesis, not an existential call. […]

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China: One Country, Two Economies, Two Strategies

The Chinese economy is divided into two: domestic growth and exports. The structure can function because its currency, the RMB, is not fully convertible, and its market is not freely accessible. Exports help access resources for the development of dual-use Chinese technology. The entire architecture could face a severe setback if exports and surplus decline. […]

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Intolerance for Intolerance?

A cultural coup of anti-laws against democratic laws is ongoing. To tell the difference and protect tolerance is paramount for the survival of freedom. Israel is a battleground. A hundred years ago, a series of coups d’état in Europe toppled old monarchies and young democracies born in the 19th century. Those revolutionary forces proclaimed themselves […]

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China’s Good Tidings for the Year of the Snake?

China might be off to a good start in the Year of the Snake. Three recent events could set a positive tone for the next twelve months: AI, Myanmar, and Hong Kong. The future remains highly volatile because of Beijing’s adversarial relationship with Washington, an open war in Ukraine, and massive instability in the Middle […]

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Musk and China, a Wrong Bet?

Beijing’s trade and foreign affairs, heavily influenced by tradition, might need a change because of the new Trump policy on the Green Deal In ancient China, the Ministry of Rituals and Materials (禮品部) functioned as the de facto Foreign Ministry, managing foreign affairs and trade. International relations were strictly regulated, defined by interactions between the […]

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The Worth of “Ideology”

Democracy is not only a value; it’s a powerful instrument, and forgetting it can damage China On the eve of the presidential inauguration, the US Supreme Court delivered a possibly historical verdict about the controversial social App Tik-Tok. The case was highly delicate because it was about choosing between national security or freedom of speech. […]

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General Introduction for China’s Re-globalization: A Petrodollar Trilogy

General Introduction for China’s Re-globalization: A Petrodollar Trilogy[1] In early 1979, Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping during a flight to the United States argued that countries establishing good relations with the US generally achieved economic development. In 1978, Vice Premier Gu Mu led a delegation to five Western European countries, including West Germany; the same year, […]