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Trade War over China

A trade war is looming. It could be the largest since the start of post-Cold War globalization and potentially one of the largest ever. The waste in its wake could far outstrip the devastation of ongoing conflicts in Ukraine or the Middle East and could change the planet forever, starting a second Cold War. On […]

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China and Trump’s MALA (Make America Little Again)

China’s historical troubles adapting to global trade could merge with Trump’s agenda to reshape America into a highly volatile mix. One of China’s historical problems has been its integration into the global economic trading system, which emerged after the discovery of the American continent in the 15th century. The first encounter was between the Spanish […]

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Can China Dodge a “Russianizing” Lull?

A lull in political initiatives about wars could draw China closer to Russia just as the two countries’ agendas are drawing apart As Moscow was the center of President Xi Jinping’s talks in Paris, Belgrade, and Budapest, there is possibly a growing systemic fissure between Russia and China concerning the war in Ukraine – specifically, […]

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PLA’s Double-Edged Sword

The EU and the US are concerned about the Chinese support for Russian military industrialization, and the PLA should think of its international thrust. On the eve of China’s President Xi Jinping’s visit to Paris, French President Emmanuel Macron sounded a loud alarm bell. He said “that Europe faces imminent danger, declaring that ‘things can […]

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On Contradiction between the US and China

In Italian below The main point is to understand whether the contradiction is within the people or between the people and their enemies. The former can be solved through discussion and debate; the latter can lead to conflict and war. Also sprach Mao Zedong, the founder and prophet of the People’s Republic of China (PRC), […]

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The Yawning Gap of Understanding Leading to War

After spending two intensive weeks in Beijing, I now sense more than ever a yawning gap in understanding global affairs between China and the rest of the world. I am haunted by the images on Chinese TV of Zhao Leji, China’s number three top leader, visiting Pyongyang. Zhao and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un hugged […]

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China’s Path Not Taken: Lost Global Leadership Opportunities

At the dawn of the 21st century, China encountered a series of decisive junctures that could have reshaped not just its destiny but that of the entire world. There was a striking series of missed opportunities and ‘what-ifs’ that could have turned the global events in a different direction. Perhaps the most significant was China’s […]