The US may have better political conditions for a battle against Beijing than 25 years ago. They may be more important than the Chinese military progress. But it’s very subtle. President Donald Trump engaged in a battle with Congress, which led to the risk of a government shutdown in the United States. As we write, […]
Europe-China, Matters of Sense and Sensibility
This year, 2024, may mark a significant shift in the relationship between the European Union (EU) and China. The February 2022 shock of China’s support for Russia against Ukraine was compounded by the potentially even greater shock of China’s stance on Israel and its support for Iran in the Middle East. This has created a […]
Post-Syria New Domino Effect to China
A decade after the Syrian Jasmine Revolution’s unsuccessful struggle against Assad, the same revolutionaries defeated him in a week. What made the difference? Previously, Russian and Iranian military support propped up the regime. Now, those old allies are preoccupied elsewhere, depleted of their forces, and unable to provide the blood transfusions that once kept the […]
A Holy US Roman Empire? Brief Notes
The presidential election of Donald Trump occurred due to many elements, including opposition to new, bold, and unusual ideas: the excesses of the woke movement and gender ideology, which some see as contrary to historical and common-sense perspectives. Recognizing the complexities and errors within historical evolution is one thing; trying to completely rewrite history according […]
Martial Complication from South Korea
The martial law in South Korea, proclaimed and then quickly withdrawn by President Yoon Suk Yeol, has opened a new chapter for China with ramifications for Russia and the Middle East. Over the weekend, Yoon could be forced to step down. The constitution requires a two-thirds parliamentary majority for such a move, and the opposition […]
China’s Political Problem with its Army
A more general political problem may be behind the new, recent mysterious purge hitting the Chinese military in the middle of a strategic modernization drive and indirectly confronted with the reality of two violent wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. China has suspended Admiral Miao Hua, number 5 in the official hierarchy and a […]
Putin’s Confusing War
A truce is necessary even to begin understanding Russia’s brinkmanship, as Moscow has reawakened the long-dormant monster of European militarism. Germany plans to build anti-raid shelters, France is considering sending troops, and Poland has tripled its military expenditures. Even sleepy Italy is contemplating a modest rearmament program. Russian President Vladimir Putin is walking on thin […]