China’s Defiant Army

(recast with updates) The PLA’s chest-thumping in Europe and America after NATO’s claims may hide the impact of the recent military purge. Military, not economy, could dominate the next Party plenum. China defiantly called on military drills with Russia, a nation at war in Ukraine, after NATO called Beijing “enabler” of Moscow’s war effort and […]

The PLA Needs Democracy to Fight

China’s failures to reform the army may lie deep in the ancient military mindset that doesn’t fit modern requirements. Can the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) fight? And in case, how would they fight? They had the human waves in Korea, and they advised the Vietnamese on guerrilla warfare, but how would they perform in a […]

A Pandora’s Box for the Supreme Court

The ruling introduced the unprecedented principle that any US President can legally subvert the institutions. It has changed the US and the terms of its competition with Russia and China. Did the Supreme Court ruling open a Pandora’s box for the United States and the world? Looking at it from Rome it’s all very puzzling […]

Corner Putin, Agent of Chaos

The Russian president’s trip to North Korea alters global calculations, spreading instability worldwide. Even China may now be interested in distancing itself from him Shortly after establishing the People’s Republic of China (PRC) on October 1st, 1949, China entered one of its most controversial historical periods. PRC leader Mao Zedong planned to attack Taiwan, where […]

Shaman Kim and His Rise

This week’s summit between North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and Russian President Vladimir Putin was of historic significance. It extended global tensions that began with the Ukrainian conflict two years ago to the eastern tip of the Eurasian continent, where the Cold War started in 1950. It could have unfathomable consequences. It also unravels years […]

China’s Unsustainable Surplus

Beijing is operating a trade model that could bust China and the rest of the world, either now or in the coming years. A vital party plenum in July might address the issue, but how? The Future In 2032, Wall Street crashed, and the dollar collapsed. The US trade deficit with China had ballooned to […]