A trade war is looming. It could be the largest since the start of post-Cold War globalization and potentially one of the largest ever. The waste in its wake could far outstrip the devastation of ongoing conflicts in Ukraine or the Middle East and could change the planet forever, starting a second Cold War. On […]
China and Trump’s MALA (Make America Little Again)
China’s historical troubles adapting to global trade could merge with Trump’s agenda to reshape America into a highly volatile mix. One of China’s historical problems has been its integration into the global economic trading system, which emerged after the discovery of the American continent in the 15th century. The first encounter was between the Spanish […]
Can China Dodge a “Russianizing” Lull?
A lull in political initiatives about wars could draw China closer to Russia just as the two countries’ agendas are drawing apart As Moscow was the center of President Xi Jinping’s talks in Paris, Belgrade, and Budapest, there is possibly a growing systemic fissure between Russia and China concerning the war in Ukraine – specifically, […]
On Contradiction between the US and China
In Italian below The main point is to understand whether the contradiction is within the people or between the people and their enemies. The former can be solved through discussion and debate; the latter can lead to conflict and war. Also sprach Mao Zedong, the founder and prophet of the People’s Republic of China (PRC), […]
The Yawning Gap of Understanding Leading to War
After spending two intensive weeks in Beijing, I now sense more than ever a yawning gap in understanding global affairs between China and the rest of the world. I am haunted by the images on Chinese TV of Zhao Leji, China’s number three top leader, visiting Pyongyang. Zhao and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un hugged […]
China’s Path Not Taken: Lost Global Leadership Opportunities
At the dawn of the 21st century, China encountered a series of decisive junctures that could have reshaped not just its destiny but that of the entire world. There was a striking series of missed opportunities and ‘what-ifs’ that could have turned the global events in a different direction. Perhaps the most significant was China’s […]
Politics of Technology Between China and the West
China’s domestic imbalances and overcapacity, due to state subsidies, have for the first time taken center stage in trade talks with the USA, further complicating the already complex bilateral ties. In Beijing last week, American Secretary of Commerce Janet Yellen argued that Chinese internal overcapacity in crucial sectors such as electric cars, solar panels, and […]