China is readier for war than some in the West may think, and it can be very different from what people might expect. The war in Ukraine should have alarmed the West and the EU into restarting their military industry. It didn’t. The EU sheepishly dreamed it would be a parenthesis, not an existential call. […]
China: One Country, Two Economies, Two Strategies
The Chinese economy is divided into two: domestic growth and exports. The structure can function because its currency, the RMB, is not fully convertible, and its market is not freely accessible. Exports help access resources for the development of dual-use Chinese technology. The entire architecture could face a severe setback if exports and surplus decline. […]
Does China need a Grand Strategy?
China might need a new Grand Strategy for the first time since the 3rd century BC unification, but it is quite elusive. Italy has parallel issues, and there could be lessons to be learned there. “Here begins our tale. The Empire, long divided, must unite; long united, must divide. Thus it has ever been. In […]
A new political strategy for Israel?
The ongoing war against Hamas needs a strategy and a political horizon before a military one. What is Israel’s future: a state integrated within itself, in the region, or under siege? There has clearly been an Israeli intelligence failure with the Hamas attack, but more profoundly, there has been a strategy failure.[1] The idea that Hamas […]
Basic Hurdles for a Chinese World Order
The perception abroad, and not only in Western countries, is that often China is a threat. Yet, many have a hard time pinpointing why it is so and, thus, what kind of threat China is. China has no vaunted goal of Hitlerian global conquest, nor does it have the old Soviet ambitions for universal communist […]